2018

The diagram below shows ‘Share of global Climate Debt‘ in 2010, 2015 and 2017 of Honduras, Guyana and Bolivia (ranked 85th, 86th, and 87th). The share of Honduras decreased significantly during the period. The global Climate Debt accumulated since 2000 is $7.2 Trillion.

The following exposes the key-data in the Climate Debt calculations: Fossil CO2 Emissions, GDP, Environmental Performance, Ecological Footprint without carbon, Forest Cover, Primary Forests, Population trends and climate change financing. For comparison, Papua New Guinea, Guatemala and Tonga (ranked 88th, 89th and 90th in Share of global Climate Debt) are included in some diagrams.

The ‘Per capita Climate Debt‘ accumulated since 2000 of Honduras, Guyana and Bolivia are $19, $201 and $13, respectively. The second diagram shows the trends between 2010 and 2017, with world average set at 100, for the three countries as well as of Papua New Guinea, Guatemala and Tonga. The per capita Climate Debt ranking by October 2017 is shown in brackets.

The next three diagrams show Fossil CO2 Emissions from fuels and industrial processes¹, in tons per capita in decades, of Honduras, Guyana and Bolivia. The green bars show the Free Emission Level² – the exceedance is the basis for calculating the national Climate Debt. The grey bars are World emissions average.

CO2 Emissions data 1990-2016 (EDGAR) has been updated October 2017.

The three diagrams below show the per capita Fossil CO2 Emissions from fuels and industrial processes¹, annually since 2000, of the three countries. The green bars show the Free Emission Level². Honduras has been below the acceptable emissions-level since 2011, while the overall growth-rate of Bolivia is nearly sufficient. Guyana’s growth-rate 2009-2016 is irresponsible.

The diagram below shows per capita GDP(ppp-$) of the six countries and the World average. The wealth of Honduras is 3.4 times lower than World average.

The next diagram shows the relative Environmental Performance of Honduras, Guyana and Bolivia, with an average World country set at 100. See the new ‘Environmental Performance Index 2018‘.

The average per capita Ecological Footprint without carbon, between 2000 and 2013, with an average World country set at 100, of Honduras, Guyana and Bolivia are 82, 128 and 133, respectively. The Climate Debt of Bolivia would have been 16.9% smaller with World average footprint. Release years are about four years after data years. Note that footprint calculation methods have changed over time. The latest and historic details from the source are available here: ‘Guyana‘ and ‘Bolivia‘ (data of Honduras is missing at the site).

Forest Cover and the precious Primary Forests as percentage of total land area, in 1990 and 2015, are important indicators in ClimatePositions. State of the forests has deteriorated considerably in all three countries. Both Honduras and Bolivia would have had zero Climate Debt with unchanged forests since 1990.

The diagrams below show Population density 2016 and growth between 2000 and 2016. The Populations of Honduras, Guyana and Bolivia are about 9.1, 0.8 and 10.9 million, respectively.

Finally, the table below shows four key values of Honduras, Guyana, Bolivia, Papua New Guinea, Guatemala and Tonga in the calculation of national Climate Debts in ClimatePositions. The price of CO2 per ton (column two) is for total CO2 Emission from Fossil Fuels (without bunkers) and industrial processes. Climate change financing (column three) is from July 2017.

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¹Fossil CO2 Emissions include all anthropogenic emissions from Fossil Fuel (combustion and production) and from industrial processes (cement, steel, liming, urea and ammonia production or consumption). The uncertainty in Fossil CO2 emissions is below 5% for industrialized countries and below 15% for developing countries.CO2 Emissions from international shipping and aviation (bunkers) are not included.

²The Free Emission Level (green bars) is determined by national CO2 Emissions 1990-1999 (base), and 11 more ‘Indicators‘, of which 7 are national and 4 are global.

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Updated data and diagrams of all ‘Indicators‘ and all countries in ClimatePositions are available in the menu ‘Calculations (Excel)‘.

Data on Fossil CO2 Emissions (excluding international shipping and aviation) and industrial processes (cement, steel, liming, etc.) are from EDGAR (European Commission) (links in the menu Calculations / Sources & Links).

Information on national GDP(ppp-$) per capita: Worldbank (links in the menu Calculations / Sources & Links).

Source on Environmental Performance: Yale and Columbia University (links in the menu Calculations / Sources & Links).

Source on Ecological Footprint: Global Footprint Network (links in the menu Calculations / Sources & Links).

Data on national Forest Cover and Primary Forests are from United Nations UN (Report: Global Forest Resources Assessments) (links in the menu Calculations / Sources & Links).

Data on national and global Populations is from Worldbank (links in the menu Calculations / Sources & Links).

PowerPoint collage with flags by Claus Andersen, 2018.